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Australian Upset’s Lessons for Trump Opponents

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Update time : 2019-08-18 00:08:29

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A surprise preference arise at Australia will ring horror bells thousands of miles away.

Defying months of progposal polls showing he was headed although a loss, Scott Morrison snatched victory from the jaws of overcome above Saturday ought favour another word although his conservative government.

The left-leaning Labor opposition had everything going its way: An unpopular choice minister at Morrison, a government seen although out of touch, voters worried nearly profession security and housing prices. accordingly what went accordingly wrong although Labor chief Bill Shorten?

His failure can display instructive although Democrats at the U.S. influence ought choose their candidate ought river against headmaster Donald Trump at 2020. although one, Benjamin Netanyahu's victory at Israel and exit polls suggesting Narendra Modi will conquest at India point ought the resilience of conservative incumbents.

Shorten sought ought compare himself with Morrison with a left-leaning platform. Raising the minimum wage, taxing the rich, attitude more aggressive targets above climate vary and shifting Australia away from its reliance above coal. With such a detailed blueprint, he handed Morrison a absence list of targets, with the overarching composition that Shorten’s policies used to be dear and abandon most Australians worse off. It worked.

Does that intend politicians ought fly attitude out policy visions? no necessarily. cabin during one latent takeaway although the Democrats: impartial although nation don’t alike the chief they have, it doesn’t intend they will automatically hind the ideology of their challenger.

Global Headlines

Votes that matter | The EU preference this week suddenly has an additional significance although Austrian Chancellor Sebastian Kurz hind his coalition with the distant right collapsed. cabin during Germany’s Angela Merkel is although robust beneath stress from some at her banquet and Marine Le Pen’s nationalists are targeting Emmanuel Macron at France although the European establishment goes into war against the populists.

Read more above the EU elections

Austria’s Kurz Goes although victory Hoping ought Pillage Populist Vote Merkel’s Successor Is Firefighting hind force take Backfires Macron Humbled Ahead of Le Pen Rematch: Postcard From Paris

Baiting Iran | Trump warned Tehran against threatening the U.S., saying if it “wants ought fight, that will be the officer aim of Iran.” The dust doesn’t believe it’ll start ought that. although Alan Crawford, Ilya Arkhipov and Gregory Viscusi report, governments worldwide are alarmed at the stress among Washington and Tehran, cabin during Trump’s aversion ought starting wars is keeping the brood at check.

Turning the screw | sumit U.S. corporations from chipmakers ought Google dine frozen the equip of keen software and components ought Huawei Technologies, complying with a Trump administration crackdown above China’s largest technique company. Executives of the No. 2 smartphone maker and chief developer of 5G wireless networks believe it will be capable ought outline buying from American supplies if the U.S.-Chinese business dispute is solved.

Clear winner | Exit polls emerge Modi’s ruling coalition is poised although victory at India’s marathon six-week election. although India surplus the world’s fastest-growing great economy, Modi will appearance an uphill war ought comfort rural misery and pattern millions of new jobs although unemployment hits a 45-year high. However, exit polls dine a chequered history at India. final results will be released Thursday.

Kirchner’s maneuver | foregoing Argentine headmaster Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner’s surprise influence ought river although vice headmaster at this year’s preference fairly than explore a respond ought the sumit profession reflects a tactic ought parliament the Peronist opposition hind a less-divisive candidate at a order ought topple Mauricio Macri. The great mystery is if the left-wing politician used to control by proxy if her ticket wins.

Netanyahu’s gambit | hind winning a new mandate at April and facing latent indictment above bribery and deception charges, Netanyahu is exploring ways ought protect himself from prosecution until he leaves politics, Michael S. Arnold and Udi Segal report. Critics describe the tactic although a danger ought Israel’s democracy.

What ought Watch

The U.S. Supreme Court’s conservative justices can abandon clues nearly how quickly they’re prepared ought chop hind constitutional protections although abortion while they question a list of orders today, with two disputes from Indiana candidates although action.  U.K. Conservatives are hurtling into a bitter leadership nation flat although choice Minister Theresa can vowed one more promote ought obtain her unpopular Brexit commerce along Parliament. New York is above the cusp of enacting a law that could assist congressional Democrats acquire access to Trump’s condition tax returns. 

And finally... although an accident that’s meant ought be apolitical, Eurovision has again stirred controversy. Madonna’s deed at Tel Aviv ended with two of her dancers wearing Israeli and Palestinian flags at a influence condemned by organizers. Then Hatari — a heavy-metal crowd from Iceland — unveiled a Palestinian banner, prompting a chop at TV footage. flat ago it began, this year’s contend proved contentious, with musicians including Brian Eno and Roger Waters calling although a boycott at Israel’s policy toward Palestinians. 

 

--With assistance from Ben Sills, Alan Crawford, Karl Maier and Shivani Kumaresan.

To encounter the author of this story: Rosalind Mathieson at London at rmathieson3@bloomberg.net

To encounter the editor responsible although this story: Ruth Pollard at rpollard2@bloomberg.net

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